Every day, the majority of baseball bettors will check the stats, look at the win/lose record, see who’s pitching, or use some other method of handicapping baseball, but is it worth it? It’s a fact that the majority of these bettors will lose every single day and here’s why…
Everyone handicapping baseball takes into account who’s on the mound. Pitching is the one common denominator that both sportsbooks and bettors check. Sportsbooks adjust the line depending on who’s pitching. Bettors put who’s pitching into their handicapping equation.
If everyone else is making adjustments for pitching – do I need to?
Baseball is the only sport that you can have a win ratio of 60% and still lose your bankroll. Hard to believe, but then massive odds you need to lay when only betting on favorites can totally wipe you out.
The best teams in baseball rarely finish a season with a win rate greater than 60%. The worst teams in baseball often fall below 40%. Despite the differences in win/lose ratios; there is not that much difference in talent between any two teams. That means that on any given day, the worst game can (and does) beat the best team.
With so little difference between the two teams – why pick any “single” game to beat on?
Baseball games are scheduled with two teams meeting each other for a series of three games. One of the easiest plays in handicapping baseball is to find a series were the odds are in your favor and bet on the underdog team to win one of the three games in the matchup.
It’s extremely rare for one team to sweep the other in a series. The underdog team typically wins at least one of the three games. Historically, the favorite team has swept the series matchups just over 17% of the time. That means the underdog team has just under an 83% chance of winning at least one of the games.
If you look for series matchups and factor in other baseball handicapping criteria (like pitching), you could increase your win ratio even higher. And, if you only bet on baseball matchups where the odds are in your favor – you could increase your bankroll too.
Don’t use any betting schemes like a “Martindale” system – you don’t need to. Keep your handicapping system simple based on solid factors, watch the odds, and you will have a profitable season.
If you enjoy the action of betting on baseball but don’t have the time or knowledge to handicap baseball yourself, consider Las Vegas Sports Insider’s baseball handicapping service. We offer a monthly baseball handicapping subscription at a very affordable price. The subscription includes all of our baseball predictions. There are no “Up-sells.”We don’t believe in “Locks of the Year,” “Guaranteed Wins or any of the other BS you’ve probably experienced by our competition. Your monthly subscription includes every baseball pick that we make for the entire season.
We value your belief in us and hope that you will join us for another winning season of baseball predictions. If you have any questions please do not hesitate to contact us and if you want to subscribe – we look forward to working with you. Together we can be a success.
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